How it finished
France beat Belgium 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Belgium at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave France 29%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Belgium had 12 shots (2 on target) to France's 18 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we said the chances were
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Belgium vs France?
France beat Belgium 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Belgium at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave France 29%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Belgium had 12 shots (2 on target) to France's 18 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Belgium vs France?
Belgium 0–1 France, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Belgium 47%, the draw 25% and France 29%.
What were the stats in Belgium vs France?
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 12–18, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 7–12, Big chances 0–2, Corners 2–6, Saves 5–2, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in Belgium vs France?
No. It finished 0–1, so Belgium failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Belgium vs France right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Belgium or draw 71%, it finished France won (29% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.