What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Belgium vs France?
Bawler's model rates this match: Belgium are favoured (53% win probability vs 25% for France, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs France?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Belgium 1-1 France (9.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.41.
How does Bawler predict Belgium vs France?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Belgium 53%, the draw 23% and France 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Belgium vs France?
BTTS: Yes (65% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.05 and away expected goals 1.36.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Belgium vs France?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.41. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).