Before kickoff our call was France to win at 72%. Bawler had France at 72%, the draw at 17% and Italy at 11%. The match finished 1–1.
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.