Bawler / World: World Cup / France
Team profile · World: World Cup

France Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
12
12 settled
Goals for
1.79
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.10
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
10/12 calls

France prediction: Bawler's model rates France at 1.79 expected goals scored and 1.10 conceded per match across 12 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No France fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

France are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.79 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.10. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.25 a game against 1.79 expected. Across 12 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on France have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
9W 0D 3L
Real goals
2.3 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How France compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.79
Above average
Goals against
1.10
Tighter than most
Scored1.79
Conceded1.10

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.79 xG per match · +0.47 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.10 xG per match · -0.28 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on France fixtures (8/10).

📊 France in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 2.2✈️ 2.5
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 2.8
🏠 4.3✈️ 5.0
14.3
Shots · per game
faced 6.8
🏠 13.0✈️ 18.0
5.3
On target · per game
faced 1.8
🏠 4.0✈️ 9.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
18 Jul
4-6
vs England
🚩 -
14 Jul
0-2
vs Spain
🚩 7-1
09 Jul
2-0
vs Morocco
🚩 5-5
04 Jul
1-0
@ Paraguay
🚩 -
30 Jun
3-0
vs Sweden
🚩 -
26 Jun
4-1
@ Norway
🚩 5-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on France matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 12

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a France fixture, it is right 10 out of 12 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on France by market
Goals (Over/Under)80%8/10
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on France fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for France matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

France prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly