What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Austria vs Kosovo?
Bawler's model rates this match: Austria are favoured (62% win probability vs 16% for Kosovo, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Austria vs Kosovo?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Austria 1-1 Kosovo (10.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.08.
How does Bawler predict Austria vs Kosovo?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Austria 62%, the draw 21% and Kosovo 16%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Austria vs Kosovo?
BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.10 and away expected goals 0.99.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Austria vs Kosovo?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.08. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).