Austria vs Kosovo prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK
57Austria win24Draw20Kosovo win
Our call before kickoff
80%
Austria or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Austria beat Kosovo 3–1. Bawler's model had Austria in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Austria had 11 shots (6 on target) to Kosovo's 6 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.

AustriaFull-time statsKosovo
52%Possession48%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.4
11Shots6
6Shots on target1
8Shots inside box4
3Big chances3
5Corners1
0Saves3
21Fouls15
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAustria or draw 80%Austria won (57% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score55%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Austria to score85%
2 or more goals79%
Goal before half-time73%
3 goals or fewer67%
Kosovo to score64%
3 or more goals56%
Both teams score55%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

AustriaAustriaKosovoKosovo
1.9Goals1.0
AustriaAustriaKosovoKosovo
0.8Goals0.5
AustriaAustriaKosovoKosovo
1.1Goals0.6

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Austria
57%
to score before half-time
Kosovo
37%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Austria vs Kosovo?

Austria beat Kosovo 3–1. Bawler's model had Austria in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Austria had 11 shots (6 on target) to Kosovo's 6 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Austria vs Kosovo?

Austria 3–1 Kosovo, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austria 57%, the draw 24% and Kosovo 20%.

What were the stats in Austria vs Kosovo?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.4, Shots 11–6, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 21–15, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Austria vs Kosovo?

Yes — both Austria and Kosovo scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Austria vs Kosovo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Austria or draw 80%, it finished Austria won (57% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Austria form →Kosovo form →