How it finished
Brazil beat Australia 4–2. Bawler's model had Brazil in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Australia had 8 shots (2 on target) to Brazil's 18 (8), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 3.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we said the chances were
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Australia vs Brazil?
Brazil beat Australia 4–2. Bawler's model had Brazil in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Australia had 8 shots (2 on target) to Brazil's 18 (8), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 3.6.
What was the final score in Australia vs Brazil?
Australia 2–4 Brazil, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Australia 23%, the draw 27% and Brazil 51%.
What were the stats in Australia vs Brazil?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–3.6, Shots 8–18, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 4–0, Fouls 19–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Australia vs Brazil?
Yes — both Australia and Brazil scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Australia vs Brazil right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brazil or draw 77%, it finished Brazil won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.