Bawler / World: World Cup / Australia
Team profile · World: World Cup

Australia Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.43
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.23
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
60%
3/5 calls

Australia prediction: Bawler's model rates Australia at 1.43 expected goals scored and 1.23 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Australia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Australia sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.23. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.80 goals a game against 1.43 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Australia have been correct 60% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 3D 1L
Real goals
0.8 – 0.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Australia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.43
Above average
Goals against
1.23
Tighter than most
Scored1.43
Conceded1.23

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

📊 Australia in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 0.8
🏠 1.5✈️ 0.0
3.0
Corners · per game
give up 1.0
✈️ 3.0
12.0
Shots · per game
faced 7.0
✈️ 12.0
5.0
On target · per game
faced 2.0
✈️ 5.0
🗓️ Last 4 games
03 Jul
1-1
vs Egypt
🚩 -
26 Jun
0-0
@ Paraguay
🚩 3-1
19 Jun
0-2
@ United States
🚩 -
14 Jun
2-0
vs Türkiye
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Australia matches
60%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Australia fixture, it is right 3 out of 5 (60%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Australia prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly