Bawler / World: World Cup / Brazil
Team profile · World: World Cup

Brazil Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
8 settled
Goals for
1.62
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.24
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
88%
7/8 calls

Brazil prediction: Bawler's model rates Brazil at 1.62 expected goals scored and 1.24 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 88% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Brazil fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Brazil carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.62 expected goals per game against a World Cup average of 1.33. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.62 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Brazil have been correct 88% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 1D 2L
Real goals
2.0 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Brazil compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.62
Above average
Goals against
1.24
Tighter than most
Scored1.62
Conceded1.24

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.62 xG per match · +0.29 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Brazil fixtures (6/6).

📊 Brazil in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.0
Goals · per game
let in 0.8
🏠 1.8✈️ 3.0
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
🏠 5.0✈️ 6.0
15.5
Shots · per game
faced 8.8
🏠 13.7✈️ 21.0
6.3
On target · per game
faced 3.8
🏠 5.3✈️ 9.0
🗓️ Last 5 games
05 Jul
1-2
vs Norway
🚩 5-5
29 Jun
2-1
vs Japan
🚩 6-2
24 Jun
3-0
@ Scotland
🚩 6-7
20 Jun
3-0
vs Haiti
🚩 4-4
13 Jun
1-1
vs Morocco
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Brazil matches
88%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Brazil fixture, it is right 7 out of 8 (88%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Brazil by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%6/6
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Brazil fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Brazil matches.

Recent matches (last 8)

Brazil prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly