FT · World: International Friendly · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Australia 2–4 BrazilMatch recap · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Australia
2–4
Brazil win
Brazil

Pre-match probability vs result

Australia win
23%
Draw
27%
Brazil win
51%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.0 – 1.6
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+3.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 3.6
From the match itself

The match produced 3.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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