Auriense Cented Academy vs CD San José prediction — Copa del Rey · Sat 26 Sept · 19:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sat 26 Sept · 19:00 UK
Auriense Cented Academy 44Draw 26CD San José 30
The call
70%
Auriense Cented Academy or draw
2.8
Goals expected
11d 19hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Auriense Cented Academy to score79%
Over 1.5 goals77%
CD San José to score71%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
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Common questions

Who will win Auriense Cented Academy vs CD San José?

Bawler's model rates this match: Auriense Cented Academy are favoured (44% win probability vs 30% for CD San José, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Auriense Cented Academy vs CD San José?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Auriense Cented Academy 1-1 CD San José (12.5% probability). Expected total goals: 2.80.

How does Bawler predict Auriense Cented Academy vs CD San José?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Auriense Cented Academy 44%, the draw 26% and CD San José 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Auriense Cented Academy vs CD San José?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.56 and away expected goals 1.24.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Auriense Cented Academy vs CD San José?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.80. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Auriense Cented Academy form →CD San José form →