AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 17:45 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 17:45 UK
AS Monaco 69Draw 19Gornik Zabrze 12
Our call before kickoff
69%
AS Monaco to win
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

AS Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 4–1. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. AS Monaco had 15 shots (6 on target) to Gornik Zabrze's 7 (5), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.3.

AS MonacoFull-time statsGornik Zabrze
67%Possession33%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.3
15Shots7
6Shots on target5
8Shots inside box4
1Big chances3
5Corners2
4Saves2
12Fouls11
0Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAS Monaco to win 69%AS Monaco won (69% called)
Total goals3.25
Both teams to score53%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AS MonacoGornik Zabrze
2.3
Goals+1.4
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
AS Monaco to score90%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.4 / match
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

AS Monaco beat Gornik Zabrze 4–1. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. AS Monaco had 15 shots (6 on target) to Gornik Zabrze's 7 (5), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.3.

What was the final score in AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

AS Monaco 4–1 Gornik Zabrze, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Monaco 69%, the draw 19% and Gornik Zabrze 12%.

What were the stats in AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.3, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–2, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Yes — both AS Monaco and Gornik Zabrze scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Monaco to win 69%, it finished AS Monaco won (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
Gornik Zabrze
Before this
20 AugHAS Monaco2–3 L
All fixtures & results →AS Monaco form →Gornik Zabrze form →