Ararat-Armenia vs 
NK Celje
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals commands 78% backing because both sides project nearly even attacking output (Ararat 1.64 xG, Celje 1.40), signaling a multi-goal affair despite the close matchup.
NK CeljeArarat-Armenia average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). NK Celje average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (6 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Ararat-Armenia and NK Celje — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Ararat-Armenia 41% · draw 29% · NK Celje 30%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
NK CeljeModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.