Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 4 Aug · 17:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 4 Aug · 17:00 UK
Ararat-Armenia 41Draw 29NK Celje 30
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Ararat-Armenia beat NK Celje 2–1. Bawler's model had Ararat-Armenia in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Ararat-Armenia had 12 shots (2 on target) to NK Celje's 16 (5), with 38% of the ball against 62%.

Ararat-ArmeniaFull-time statsNK Celje
38%Possession62%
12Shots16
2Shots on target5
3Corners4
13Fouls10
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultArarat-Armenia 41%Ararat-Armenia (41% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second call1X 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Ararat-Armenia to score81%
NK Celje to score75%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje?

Ararat-Armenia beat NK Celje 2–1. Bawler's model had Ararat-Armenia in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Ararat-Armenia had 12 shots (2 on target) to NK Celje's 16 (5), with 38% of the ball against 62%.

What was the final score in Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje?

Ararat-Armenia 2–1 NK Celje, played on 04 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ararat-Armenia 41%, the draw 29% and NK Celje 30%.

What were the stats in Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Shots 12–16, Shots on target 2–5, Corners 3–4, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje?

Yes — both Ararat-Armenia and NK Celje scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Ararat-Armenia 41%, it finished Ararat-Armenia (41% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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