Al Shabab and Al Fayha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Shabab at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Al Shabab had 15 shots (3 on target) to Al Fayha's 5 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Shabab and Al Fayha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Shabab at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Al Shabab had 15 shots (3 on target) to Al Fayha's 5 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.5.
Al Shabab 0–0 Al Fayha, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 49%, the draw 25% and Al Fayha 26%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.5, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–1, Saves 3–3, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 5–4, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Al Shabab failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Shabab or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.