Al Shabab vs Al Fayha prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 12 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 12 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Shabab 49Draw 25Al Fayha 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Al Shabab or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Al Shabab and Al Fayha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Shabab at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Al Shabab had 15 shots (3 on target) to Al Fayha's 5 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.5.

Al ShababFull-time statsAl Fayha
52%Possession48%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.5
15Shots5
3Shots on target3
8Shots inside box4
1Big chances1
8Corners1
3Saves3
9Fouls13
5Offsides4
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Shabab or draw 74%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.90
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al ShababAl Fayha
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2
20.1
Shots+2.5
17.5
6.1
On target+0.3
6.3
9.6
Corners+5.5
4.1
Al ShababAl Fayha
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
9.5
Shots+1.5
8.0
2.8
On target+0.1
2.9
4.5
Corners+2.6
1.9
Al ShababAl Fayha
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8
10.5
Shots+1.0
9.5
3.2
On target+0.2
3.4
5.1
Corners+2.9
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Al Shabab to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Al Fayha to score70%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Al Shabab
58%
to score before half-time
Al Fayha
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

Al ShababAl Fayha
9.51st-half shots8.0
2.81st-half shots on target2.9
4.51st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

57%Chance of 9+ shots41%
37%Chance of 11+ shots23%
73%Chance of 2+ shots on target75%
32%Chance of 4+ shots on target34%
62%Chance of 4+ corners16%
31%Chance of 6+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Shabab9.510.5
Shots · Al Fayha8.09.5
Shots on target · Al Shabab2.83.2
Shots on target · Al Fayha2.93.4
Corners · Al Shabab4.55.1
Corners · Al Fayha1.92.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Shabab 4 · Draws 1 · Al Fayha 0
Al Fayha in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Fayha
Sept 2025Al-Fayha 0–0 Al Shabab
May 2025Al-Fayha 0–2 Al Shabab
Jan 2025Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fayha
Jan 2025Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fayha
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Al Shabab and Al Fayha drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Shabab at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Al Shabab had 15 shots (3 on target) to Al Fayha's 5 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Al Shabab 0–0 Al Fayha, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 49%, the draw 25% and Al Fayha 26%.

What were the stats in Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.5, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–1, Saves 3–3, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 5–4, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

No. It finished 0–0, so Al Shabab failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Shabab or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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