Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 19:00 UK
Al Qadsiah 76Draw 15Al-Faisaly 9
Our call before kickoff
76%
Al Qadsiah to win
Landed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
70%

How it finished

Al Qadsiah beat Al-Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Al Qadsiah had 17 shots (9 on target) to Al-Faisaly's 5 (2), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.

Al QadsiahFull-time statsAl-Faisaly
57%Possession43%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.7
17Shots5
9Shots on target2
13Shots inside box2
6Big chances1
4Corners2
1Saves7
12Fouls7
4Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Qadsiah to win 76%Al Qadsiah won (76% called)
Total goals3.64
Both teams to score54%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al QadsiahAl-Faisaly
2.7
Goals+1.9
0.9
19.2
Shots+12.4
6.7
7.3
On target+4.6
2.7
9.3
Corners+7.4
1.9
Al QadsiahAl-Faisaly
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.3
9.1
Shots+6.0
3.1
3.2
On target+2.0
1.2
4.4
Corners+3.5
0.9
Al QadsiahAl-Faisaly
2.1
Goals+1.5
0.5
10.1
Shots+6.4
3.7
4.1
On target+2.6
1.5
4.9
Corners+3.9
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Al Qadsiah to score94%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%

First half — what we expected

Al Qadsiah
67%
to score before half-time
Al-Faisaly
32%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Al QadsiahAl-Faisaly
9.11st-half shots3.1
3.21st-half shots on target1.2
4.41st-half corners0.9

First-half chances

63%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
42%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
80%Chance of 2+ shots on target33%
40%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
76%Chance of 3+ corners<10%
43%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Qadsiah9.110.1
Shots · Al-Faisaly3.13.7
Shots on target · Al Qadsiah3.24.1
Shots on target · Al-Faisaly1.21.5
Corners · Al Qadsiah4.44.9
Corners · Al-Faisaly0.91.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Qadsiah 0 · Draws 2 · Al-Faisaly 3
Al-Faisaly in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2021Al Qadsiah 1–2 Al-Faisaly
Jan 2021Al-Faisaly 2–2 Al Qadsiah
Mar 2019Al-Faisaly 3–0 Al Qadsiah
Nov 2018Al Qadsiah 1–1 Al-Faisaly
Jan 2018Al-Faisaly 2–0 Al Qadsiah
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly?

Al Qadsiah beat Al-Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Al Qadsiah had 17 shots (9 on target) to Al-Faisaly's 5 (2), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly?

Al Qadsiah 3–1 Al-Faisaly, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Qadsiah 76%, the draw 15% and Al-Faisaly 9%.

What were the stats in Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.7, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 13–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–7, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly?

Yes — both Al Qadsiah and Al-Faisaly scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah to win 76%, it finished Al Qadsiah won (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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