How it finished
Al Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Al Qadsiah at 74% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.8 goals; the match produced 6. Al Qadsiah had 13 shots (3 on target) to Al Ettifaq's 12 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?
Al Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Al Qadsiah at 74% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.8 goals; the match produced 6. Al Qadsiah had 13 shots (3 on target) to Al Ettifaq's 12 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?
Al Qadsiah 3–3 Al Ettifaq, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Qadsiah 74%, the draw 16% and Al Ettifaq 11%.
What were the stats in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.9, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 5–2, Corners 3–0, Saves 1–0, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–5.
Did both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?
Yes — both Al Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah to win 74%, it finished Draw (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.