How it finished
Al Khaleej and Al Nassr drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Nassr at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Khaleej had 5 shots (2 on target) to Al Nassr's 15 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?
Al Khaleej and Al Nassr drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Nassr at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Khaleej had 5 shots (2 on target) to Al Nassr's 15 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?
Al Khaleej 1–1 Al Nassr, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Khaleej 17%, the draw 21% and Al Nassr 62%.
What were the stats in Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.4, Shots 5–15, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–9, Saves 1–0, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 7–1, Yellow cards 4–3.
Did both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?
Yes — both Al Khaleej and Al Nassr scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr to win 62%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.