AEK Athens beat LASK Linz 1–0. Bawler's model had AEK Athens in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. AEK Athens had 18 shots (4 on target) to LASK Linz's 11 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
AEK Athens beat LASK Linz 1–0. Bawler's model had AEK Athens in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. AEK Athens had 18 shots (4 on target) to LASK Linz's 11 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.8.
AEK Athens 1–0 LASK Linz, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AEK Athens 71%, the draw 18% and LASK Linz 12%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.8, Shots 18–11, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 4–3, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 7–15, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so LASK Linz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AEK Athens to win 71%, it finished AEK Athens won (71% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.