World Cup 2026 · Group H
Saudi Arabia at World Cup 2026
Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments
FIFA rank
#50
Official ranking
Win the group
15.6%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
27.0%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.18%
Lift the trophy
Bawler's full forecast for Saudi Arabia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group H alongside Spain, Cape Verde, and Uruguay. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Saudi Arabia's path to the trophy
Probability Saudi Arabia reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
15.6%
Round of 16
27.0%
Quarter-finals
17.2%
Semi-finals
7.39%
Final
1.87%
Win it all
0.18%
Group H
Group H forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain | #2 | 98.0% | 95.5% | 85.1% | 69.8% | 33.8% |
 Uruguay | #14 | 68.3% | 74.0% | 59.5% | 40.6% | 6.09% |
 Cape Verde | #72 | 18.1% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Saudi Arabia | #50 | 15.6% | 27.0% | 17.2% | 7.39% | 0.18% |
Fixtures
Saudi Arabia's World Cup fixtures
3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.