Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Sweden prediction: Bawler's model rates Sweden at 1.29 expected goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 86% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Sweden fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Sweden sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.29 expected goals a game and conceding 1.50. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.14 a game against 1.29 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Sweden have been correct 86% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Sweden compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Sweden fixture, it is right 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.