Romania vs Sweden prediction — UEFA Nations League · Mon 5 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Mon 5 Oct · 19:45 UK
14Romania win18Draw68Sweden win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Sweden beat Romania 1–0. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Sweden's 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.6.

RomaniaFull-time statsSweden
52%Possession48%
0.5Expected goals (xG)2.6
13Shots12
4Shots on target2
7Shots inside box10
0Big chances6
5Corners4
1Saves4
15Fouls11
3Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–2
Sweden to win · 9% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.1v2.5
3.6 in total
Both teams score
61%
Yes
3+ goals
69%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RomaniaRomaniaSwedenSweden
1.1Goals2.5
RomaniaRomaniaSwedenSweden
0.5Goals1.1
RomaniaRomaniaSwedenSweden
0.6Goals1.4

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Sweden to score92%
2 or more goals87%
Goal before half-time79%
Romania to score66%

First half — what we expected

Romania
38%
to score before half-time
Sweden
67%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Nov 2019Romania 0–2 Sweden
Mar 2019Sweden 2–1 Romania
Mar 2018Romania 1–0 Sweden
Jul 1994Romania 2–2 Sweden
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Romania form →Sweden form →

Common questions

Who won Romania vs Sweden?

Sweden beat Romania 1–0. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Sweden's 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.6.

What was the final score in Romania vs Sweden?

Romania 0–1 Sweden, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Romania 14%, the draw 18% and Sweden 68%.

What were the stats in Romania vs Sweden?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–2.6, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 0–6, Corners 5–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Romania vs Sweden?

No. It finished 0–1, so Romania failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.