How it finished
Sweden beat Romania 2–1. Bawler's model had Sweden in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sweden had 11 shots (4 on target) to Romania's 10 (1), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sweden vs Romania?
Sweden beat Romania 2–1. Bawler's model had Sweden in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sweden had 11 shots (4 on target) to Romania's 10 (1), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Sweden vs Romania?
Sweden 2–1 Romania, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sweden 63%, the draw 20% and Romania 17%.
What were the stats in Sweden vs Romania?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.4, Shots 11–10, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 5–4, Big chances 2–0, Corners 3–0, Saves 0–2, Fouls 6–17, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–5.
Did both teams score in Sweden vs Romania?
Yes — both Sweden and Romania scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sweden vs Romania right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sweden to win 63%, it finished Sweden won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes.