What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Sweden vs Romania?
Bawler's model rates this match: Sweden are favoured (63% win probability vs 17% for Romania, 20% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Romania?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sweden 2-1 Romania (9.5% probability). Expected total goals: 3.48.
How does Bawler predict Sweden vs Romania?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sweden 63%, the draw 20% and Romania 17%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Sweden vs Romania?
BTTS: Yes (62% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.33 and away expected goals 1.15.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Sweden vs Romania?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.48. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).