What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Sweden vs Poland?
Bawler's model rates this match: Sweden are favoured (45% win probability vs 32% for Poland, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Poland?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sweden 1-1 Poland (9.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.46.
How does Bawler predict Sweden vs Poland?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sweden 45%, the draw 23% and Poland 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Sweden vs Poland?
BTTS: Yes (67% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.88 and away expected goals 1.57.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Sweden vs Poland?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.46. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).