Slovenia vs Scotland prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sept · 14:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sept · 14:00 UK
18Slovenia win25Draw57Scotland win
Our call before kickoff
82%
Scotland or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Slovenia and Scotland drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Scotland at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Slovenia had 4 shots (1 on target) to Scotland's 17 (5), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.

SloveniaFull-time statsScotland
35%Possession65%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.9
4Shots17
1Shots on target5
4Shots inside box14
1Big chances2
5Corners4
5Saves1
15Fouls18
2Offsides1
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callScotland or draw 82%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.70
Both teams to score49%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Scotland to score83%
2 or more goals75%
3 goals or fewer72%
Goal before half-time69%
3 or more goals50%
Both teams score49%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

SloveniaSloveniaScotlandScotland
0.9Goals1.8
SloveniaSloveniaScotlandScotland
0.4Goals0.8
SloveniaSloveniaScotlandScotland
0.5Goals1.0

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Slovenia
33%
to score before half-time
Scotland
54%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Sept 2026Slovenia 0–0 Scotland
Oct 2017Slovenia 2–2 Scotland
Mar 2017Scotland 1–0 Slovenia
Feb 2012Slovenia 1–1 Scotland
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Slovenia vs Scotland?

Slovenia and Scotland drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Scotland at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Slovenia had 4 shots (1 on target) to Scotland's 17 (5), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Slovenia vs Scotland?

Slovenia 0–0 Scotland, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slovenia 18%, the draw 25% and Scotland 57%.

What were the stats in Slovenia vs Scotland?

Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.9, Shots 4–17, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 4–14, Big chances 1–2, Corners 5–4, Saves 5–1, Fouls 15–18, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Slovenia vs Scotland?

No. It finished 0–0, so Slovenia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Slovenia vs Scotland right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Scotland or draw 82%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Slovenia form →Scotland form →