What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Slovenia vs Scotland?
Bawler's model rates this match: Scotland are favoured (56% win probability vs 19% for Slovenia, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs Scotland?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Slovenia 1-1 Scotland (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.71.
How does Bawler predict Slovenia vs Scotland?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Slovenia 19%, the draw 25% and Scotland 56%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Slovenia vs Scotland?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 0.94 and away expected goals 1.77.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Slovenia vs Scotland?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.71. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).