Portugal vs Norway prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 4 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 4 Oct · 19:45 UK
53Portugal win23Draw24Norway win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Portugal beat Norway 2–1. Portugal had 20 shots (7 on target) to Norway's 9 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.

PortugalFull-time statsNorway
59%Possession41%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.5
20Shots9
7Shots on target3
11Shots inside box6
3Big chances0
6Corners4
2Saves5
8Fouls7
2Offsides2
4Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Portugal win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
2.0v1.3
3.2 in total
Both teams score
62%
Yes
3+ goals
62%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

PortugalPortugalNorwayNorway
2.0Goals1.3
PortugalPortugalNorwayNorway
0.9Goals0.6
PortugalPortugalNorwayNorway
1.1Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Portugal to score86%
2 or more goals83%
Goal before half-time76%
Norway to score72%

First half — what we expected

Portugal
58%
to score before half-time
Norway
43%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

May 2016Portugal 3–0 Norway
Jun 2011Portugal 1–0 Norway
Sept 2010Norway 1–0 Portugal
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Portugal form →Norway form →

Common questions

Who won Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal beat Norway 2–1. Portugal had 20 shots (7 on target) to Norway's 9 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal 2–1 Norway, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portugal 53%, the draw 23% and Norway 24%.

What were the stats in Portugal vs Norway?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 3–0, Corners 6–4, Saves 2–5, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–0, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Portugal vs Norway?

Yes — both Portugal and Norway scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.