What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Denmark · last 6
Norway · last 6
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Norway or draw is 71% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Denmark vs Norway?
Bawler's model rates this match: Norway are favoured (49% win probability vs 29% for Denmark, 22% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Norway?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Denmark 1-1 Norway (9.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.6.
How does Bawler predict Denmark vs Norway?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Denmark 29%, the draw 22% and Norway 49%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Denmark vs Norway?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 69% chance. That is based on Denmark expecting 1.54 goals and Norway 2.06.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Denmark vs Norway?
Bawler's model expects 3.6 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 70%.