How it finished
Norway beat Denmark 3–2. Bawler's model had Norway in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. Norway had 13 shots (7 on target) to Denmark's 13 (7), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Norway vs Denmark?
Norway beat Denmark 3–2. Bawler's model had Norway in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. Norway had 13 shots (7 on target) to Denmark's 13 (7), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Norway vs Denmark?
Norway 3–2 Denmark, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Norway 67%, the draw 18% and Denmark 15%.
What were the stats in Norway vs Denmark?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.1, Shots 13–13, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Norway vs Denmark?
Yes — both Norway and Denmark scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Norway vs Denmark right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Norway to win 67%, it finished Norway won (67% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.