What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Iceland vs Estonia?
Bawler's model rates this match: Iceland are favoured (74% win probability vs 10% for Estonia, 16% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Iceland vs Estonia?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Iceland 2-0 Estonia (9.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.61.
How does Bawler predict Iceland vs Estonia?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Iceland 74%, the draw 16% and Estonia 10%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Iceland vs Estonia?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.69 and away expected goals 0.92.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Iceland vs Estonia?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.61. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).