Match prediction·ENGLAND: Championship·Friday 14 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Blackburn Rovers

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
36.4% home32.6% draw31.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Wolverhampton WanderersstepBlackburn Rovers
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Wolverhampton average 3.1 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). Blackburn average 5.2 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
Blackburn Rovers to win
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Wolverhampton vs Blackburn — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Wolverhampton and Blackburn — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Wolverhampton 36% · draw 33% · Blackburn 31%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.