Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 4 Aug · 19:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 4 Aug · 19:00 UK
Union St.-Gilloise 26Draw 34Bodo/Glimt 40
The call
71%
Over 1.5 goals
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3

How it finished

Union St.-Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Bodo/Glimt at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 34%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 6. Union St.-Gilloise had 9 shots (4 on target) to Bodo/Glimt's 5 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%.

Union…Full-time statsBodo/Glimt
49%Possession51%
9Shots5
4Shots on target3
5Corners0
12Fouls12
2Offsides0
5Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBodo/Glimt 40%Draw (34% called)
Total goals2.36
Both teams to score47%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 71%Landed
Second call1X 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals79%
Bodo/Glimt to score73%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Union St.-Gilloise to score64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?

Union St.-Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Bodo/Glimt at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 34%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 6. Union St.-Gilloise had 9 shots (4 on target) to Bodo/Glimt's 5 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%.

What was the final score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?

Union St.-Gilloise 3–3 Bodo/Glimt, played on 04 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 26%, the draw 34% and Bodo/Glimt 40%.

What were the stats in Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Shots 9–5, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 5–0, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 5–2.

Did both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?

Yes — both Union St.-Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bodo/Glimt 40%, it finished Draw (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 71%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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