Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 71% because both sides project efficient finishing with a combined 2.35 xG in a fixture where the win-probability gap (Bodo/Glimt 40% vs Union 26%) suggests attacking intensity from the visitor.
Union St.-GilloisestepBodo/GlimtUnion St.-Gilloise average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). Bodo/Glimt average 3.3 corners per game away from home this season (8 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Union St.-Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Union St.-Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Union St.-Gilloise 26% · draw 34% · Bodo/Glimt 40%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Union St.-Gilloise 3–3 Bodo/GlimtModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.