We expected
1–1
14% — the single most likely resultExpected goals
1.3v1.0
2.3 in totalBoth teams score
45%
Leans no3+ goals
40%
UnlikelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.3Goals1.0
0.6Goals0.4
0.7Goals0.5
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
3 goals or fewer80%
Ukraine to score73%
2 or more goals66%
Goal before half-time64%
Northern Ireland to score62%
First half — what we expected
44%
to score before half-time
34%
to score before half-time
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Oct 2026Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland
Jun 2021Ukraine 1–0 Northern Ireland
Jun 2016Ukraine 0–2 Northern Ireland
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland beat Ukraine 3–0.
What was the final score in Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ukraine 44%, the draw 30% and Northern Ireland 26%.
Did both teams score in Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
No. It finished 0–3, so Ukraine failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.