What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Türkiye vs France?
Bawler's model rates this match: France are favoured (57% win probability vs 22% for Türkiye, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs France?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Türkiye 1-2 France (9.5% probability). Expected total goals: 3.44.
How does Bawler predict Türkiye vs France?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Türkiye 22%, the draw 22% and France 57%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Türkiye vs France?
BTTS: Yes (64% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.28 and away expected goals 2.15.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Türkiye vs France?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.44. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).