How it finished
France beat Türkiye 1–0. Bawler's model had France in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Türkiye had 12 shots (3 on target) to France's 12 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Türkiye vs France?
France beat Türkiye 1–0. Bawler's model had France in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Türkiye had 12 shots (3 on target) to France's 12 (4), with 36% of the ball against 64%.
What was the final score in Türkiye vs France?
Türkiye 0–1 France, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Türkiye 21%, the draw 21% and France 58%.
What were the stats in Türkiye vs France?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 3–4, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Türkiye vs France?
No. It finished 0–1, so Türkiye failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Türkiye vs France right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said France or draw 79%, it finished France won (58% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Missed.