Before kickoff our call was Sweden to win at 68%. Bawler had Romania at 14%, the draw at 18% and Sweden at 68%. The match finished 0–1.
The match produced 2.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.