How it finished
Lens beat Slavia Prague 3–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Slavia Prague had 18 shots (5 on target) to Lens' 26 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.8, so Slavia Prague created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Slavia Prague vs Lens?
Lens beat Slavia Prague 3–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Slavia Prague had 18 shots (5 on target) to Lens' 26 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.8, so Slavia Prague created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Slavia Prague vs Lens?
Slavia Prague 2–3 Lens, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slavia Prague 31%, the draw 24% and Lens 45%.
What were the stats in Slavia Prague vs Lens?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.8, Shots 18–26, Shots on target 5–8, Shots inside box 11–14, Big chances 3–4, Corners 6–9, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–8, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Slavia Prague vs Lens?
Yes — both Slavia Prague and Lens scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Slavia Prague vs Lens right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lens or draw 69%, it finished Lens won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.