Shelbourne vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 19:45 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 19:45 UK
Shelbourne 40Draw 28Ajax Amsterdam 32
The call
68%
Shelbourne or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Shelbourne and Ajax Amsterdam drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Shelbourne at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Shelbourne had 12 shots (5 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 19 (7), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.

ShelbourneFull-time statsAjax…
28%Possession72%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.1
12Shots19
5Shots on target7
7Shots inside box9
0Big chances3
4Corners11
5Saves3
10Fouls12
6Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultShelbourne 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals3.54
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callShelbourne or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Shelbourne to score84%
Ajax Amsterdam to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Shelbourne vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Shelbourne and Ajax Amsterdam drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Shelbourne at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Shelbourne had 12 shots (5 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 19 (7), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Shelbourne vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Shelbourne 40%, the draw 28% and Ajax Amsterdam 32%.

What were the stats in Shelbourne vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.1, Shots 12–19, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 7–9, Big chances 0–3, Corners 4–11, Saves 5–3, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Shelbourne vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Yes — both Shelbourne and Ajax Amsterdam scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Shelbourne vs Ajax Amsterdam right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Shelbourne 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Shelbourne or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
Shelbourne
Before this
6 AugAAjax Amsterdam1–3 L
All fixtures & results →Shelbourne form →Ajax Amsterdam form →