SC Cambuur vs FC Twente prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 19:00 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 19:00 UK
SC Cambuur 11Draw 16FC Twente 73
The call
73%
FC Twente to win
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4

How it finished

FC Twente beat SC Cambuur 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. SC Cambuur had 10 shots (3 on target) to FC Twente's 23 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

SC CambuurFull-time statsFC Twente
36%Possession64%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
10Shots23
3Shots on target10
5Shots inside box13
0Big chances4
2Corners9
6Saves2
6Fouls14
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Twente 73%FC Twente (73% called)
Total goals3.65
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callAway Win 73%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Twente to score93%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
SC Cambuur to score61%

First half — what we expected

SC CambuurBefore half-timeFC Twente
34%Chance to score62%
2.7Expected shots7.7
1.7Expected shots on target2.6
2.0Expected corners2.5
3%Chance of 7+ shots63%
1%Chance of 9+ shots37%
50%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
9%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
57%Chance of 2+ corners69%
15%Chance of 4+ corners26%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.7 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2023FC Twente 4–0 Cambuur
Oct 2022Cambuur 0–1 FC Twente
Mar 2022FC Twente 1–0 Cambuur
Aug 2021Cambuur 2–0 FC Twente
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

FC Twente beat SC Cambuur 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. SC Cambuur had 10 shots (3 on target) to FC Twente's 23 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

SC Cambuur 1–4 FC Twente, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Cambuur 11%, the draw 16% and FC Twente 73%.

What were the stats in SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.8, Shots 10–23, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 0–4, Corners 2–9, Saves 6–2, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

Yes — both SC Cambuur and FC Twente scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for SC Cambuur vs FC Twente right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Twente 73%, it finished FC Twente (73% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Away Win 73%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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