SC Cambuur vs Excelsior prediction — Eredivisie · Fri 7 Aug · 19:00 UK

Eredivisie · Fri 7 Aug · 19:00 UK
SC Cambuur 51Draw 28Excelsior 20
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–4

How it finished

Excelsior beat SC Cambuur 4–0. Bawler's model favoured SC Cambuur at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Excelsior 20%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. SC Cambuur had 11 shots (2 on target) to Excelsior's 18 (9), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 3.4.

SC CambuurFull-time statsExcelsior
47%Possession53%
0.7Expected goals (xG)3.4
11Shots18
2Shots on target9
5Shots inside box14
1Big chances7
5Corners8
5Saves1
6Fouls11
1Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSC Cambuur 51%Excelsior (20% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score56%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed
Second callBTTS Yes 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
SC Cambuur to score84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Excelsior to score66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won SC Cambuur vs Excelsior?

Excelsior beat SC Cambuur 4–0. Bawler's model favoured SC Cambuur at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Excelsior 20%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. SC Cambuur had 11 shots (2 on target) to Excelsior's 18 (9), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 3.4.

What was the final score in SC Cambuur vs Excelsior?

SC Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior, played on 07 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Cambuur 51%, the draw 28% and Excelsior 20%.

What were the stats in SC Cambuur vs Excelsior?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–3.4, Shots 11–18, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 1–7, Corners 5–8, Saves 5–1, Fouls 6–11, Offsides 1–1.

Did both teams score in SC Cambuur vs Excelsior?

No. It finished 0–4, so SC Cambuur failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for SC Cambuur vs Excelsior right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said SC Cambuur 51%, it finished Excelsior (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS Yes 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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