Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 10 Aug · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 10 Aug · 20:15 UK
Santa Clara 43Draw 34C.D. Nacional 23
The call
69%
Over 1.5 goals
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Santa Clara at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 34%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 4. Santa Clara had 19 shots (7 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.

Santa ClaraFull-time statsC.D. Nacional
52%Possession48%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.2
19Shots10
7Shots on target4
11Shots inside box8
4Big chances1
4Corners4
2Saves4
15Fouls14
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSanta Clara 43%Draw (34% called)
Total goals2.34
Both teams to score45%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 69%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals81%
Santa Clara to score74%
Over 1.5 goals66%
Under 2.5 goals61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional?

Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Santa Clara at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 34%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 4. Santa Clara had 19 shots (7 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional?

Santa Clara 2–2 C.D. Nacional, played on 10 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Santa Clara 43%, the draw 34% and C.D. Nacional 23%.

What were the stats in Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional?

Yes — both Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Santa Clara 43%, it finished Draw (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 69%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Santa Clara form →C.D. Nacional form →