Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Santa Clara at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 34%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 4. Santa Clara had 19 shots (7 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Santa Clara at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 34%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 4. Santa Clara had 19 shots (7 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
Santa Clara 2–2 C.D. Nacional, played on 10 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Santa Clara 43%, the draw 34% and C.D. Nacional 23%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Santa Clara 43%, it finished Draw (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 69%, it finished Landed.