Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction — Champions League · Wed 21 Oct · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Wed 21 Oct · 20:00 UK
Real Betis 51Draw 24Feyenoord Rotterdam 25
Real Betis or draw is at 75%, where it was 5 days ago
The call
75%
Real Betis or draw
Calls on the result published at 75–80% have landed 75% of the time
180 of 239 settledFull record →
3.2
Goals expected
9d 07hUntil lineups lock
Goal before half-time
80%
Both teams score
61%
3+ goals
61%

What we expect

Our forecast for this match. The tick on each bar is that side’s average over their last six.

what we expecttheir average over the last six
Real BetisFeyenoord Rotterdam
1.9
Goals+0.6
1.3
avg 2.2 · 3 away · 2+ in 3/6
avg 3.3 · 3 away · 1+ in 6/6
14.7
Shots+1.8
12.8
avg 18.2 · 3 away · 15+ in 4/6
avg 18.7 · 3 away · 13+ in 4/6
4.3
On target+0.4
4.7
avg 6.8 · 3 away · 4+ in 6/6
avg 7.8 · 3 away · 5+ in 4/6
3.8
Corners+1.0
4.8
avg 5.3 · 3 away · 4+ in 6/6
avg 5.3 · 3 away · 5+ in 4/6
Real BetisFeyenoord Rotterdam
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
6.7
Shots+0.6
6.1
1.9
On target+0.2
2.1
1.8
Corners+0.5
2.3
Real BetisFeyenoord Rotterdam
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8
7.9
Shots+1.2
6.7
2.4
On target+0.2
2.6
2.0
Corners+0.5
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

How to read this

The small bars under each number are that side’s most recent matches (up to six), home and away, against opponents of mixed strength, oldest on the left; the dashed line is the number we expect. Our forecast is for this opponent at this ground, so a favourite’s recent numbers often sit below it and an underdog’s above it.

Recent averages · last 6 matches

What each side has actually done lately, home and away — a record, not a forecast.

Real BetisFeyenoord Rotterdam
Attack
2.2Goals3.3
2.0Expected goals (xG)2.2
18.2Shots18.7
6.8Shots on target7.8
3.2Big chances4.3
5.3Corners5.3
Defence
1.0Goals conceded1.3
1.7xG conceded0.8
13.8Shots faced11.3
5.3On target faced3.5
6.7Corners conceded3.7
4.0Keeper saves2.0
Style & discipline
54%Possession50%
10.8Fouls10.5
1.7Yellow cards1.0
0.5Offsides2.3

Our numbers, most likely first

Ranked by our probability, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability5-day change
Real Betis to score85%0
Over 1.5 goals83%+1
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score72%+1
Over 2.5 goals61%+1

In plain English

Real Betis are more likely than not to avoid defeat, but it is close. They have won four of their last six, and the model expects them to create around half a goal more per game than Feyenoord Rotterdam. The model sees around three goals in it.

What would change the call

Real Betis or draw, priced again from the same expected goals if the match reaches these states.

Real Betis lead 1–0 at half-time75% → 94%
Feyenoord Rotterdam lead 1–0 at half-time75% → 42%
Goalless at half-time75% → 77%

Each row is the call re-priced for that scoreline at half-time. Lineups are not in it — we publish per-player shooting rates, not a squad-strength number, so what a rested front three does to this figure is not something we can honestly put a number on.

Real Betis · last 6

Wv Osasuna5–220 shots
Dat Deportivo A Coruña1–111 shots
Wv Getafe1–022 shots
Wat Villarreal2–126 shots
Wat Lille3–220 shots
Wv Real Madrid1–010 shots

Feyenoord Rotterdam · last 6

Wv AZ Alkmaar2–015 shots
Wv FC Utrecht5–023 shots
Wat PEC Zwolle7–026 shots
Lat Barcelona1–54 shots
Wat NEC Nijmegen3–111 shots
Dv ADO Den Haag2–233 shots

First half — what we expect

Real Betis
65%
to score before half-time
Feyenoord Rotterdam
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Real BetisFeyenoord Rotterdam
6.71st-half shots6.1
avg 10.7 · 4 away · 7+ in 4/6
avg 9.2 · 3 away · 6+ in 4/6
1.91st-half shots on target2.1
avg 3.3 · 4 away · 2+ in 4/6
avg 2.5 · 3 away · 2+ in 3/6
1.81st-half corners2.3
avg 3.7 · 4 away · 2+ in 6/6
avg 2.8 · 3 away · 2+ in 3/6

First-half chances

61%Chance of 6+ shots53%
37%Chance of 8+ shots30%
81%Chance of 1+ shots on target85%
30%Chance of 3+ shots on target36%
77%Chance of 1+ corners85%
27%Chance of 3+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Real Betis6.77.9
Shots · Feyenoord Rotterdam6.16.7
Shots on target · Real Betis1.92.4
Shots on target · Feyenoord Rotterdam2.12.6
Corners · Real Betis1.82.0
Corners · Feyenoord Rotterdam2.32.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Real Betis
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Juan Hernández
FW · 3.6 shots expected
97%
67%
31%
Antony
MF · 3.5 shots expected
97%
69%
33%
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
MF · 3.1 shots expected
96%
63%
26%
Rodrigo Riquelme
MF · 2.6 shots expected
93%
52%
17%
Nelson Deossa
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
52%
17%
Giovani Lo Celso
MF · 2.1 shots expected
88%
51%
16%
Feyenoord Rotterdam
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Ayase Ueda
FW · 3.0 shots expected
95%
73%
37%
Sem Steijn
MF · 2.3 shots expected
90%
58%
22%
Anis Hadj Moussa
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
56%
20%
Leo Sauer
FW · 2.0 shots expected
86%
57%
21%
Quinten Timber
MF · 1.4 shots expected
75%
35%
7%
Jordan Bos
DF · 1.3 shots expected
73%
34%
7%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Real Betis form (last 6)L W W W W D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Real Betis 1 · Draws 0 · Feyenoord Rotterdam 0
Feyenoord Rotterdam in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jan 2026Real Betis 2–1 Feyenoord
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Common questions

Who will win Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler's model rates this match: Real Betis are favoured (51% win probability vs 25% for Feyenoord Rotterdam, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Real Betis 1-1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (10.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.2.

How does Bawler predict Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Real Betis 51%, the draw 24% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 61% chance. That is based on Real Betis expecting 1.90 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.28.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler's model expects 3.2 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Real Betis form →Feyenoord Rotterdam form →