Match prediction·EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification·Thursday 13 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
75.7% home17.0% draw7.3% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Omonia NicosiastepLincoln Red Imps
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Omonia Nicosia average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (4 competitive matches). Lincoln Red Imps average 2.0 corners per game away from home this season (3 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Omonia Nicosia to win
80%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Omonia Nicosia have won 0, Lincoln Red Imps have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Lincoln Red Imps 11 Omonia NicosiaEurope: Europa League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Omonia Nicosia 76% · draw 17% · Lincoln Red Imps 7%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.