What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Bawler's model rates this match: Northern Ireland are favoured (40% win probability vs 33% for Hungary, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Northern Ireland 1-1 Hungary (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.74.
How does Bawler predict Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Northern Ireland 40%, the draw 27% and Hungary 33%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.44 and away expected goals 1.30.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.74. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).