Northern Ireland vs Hungary prediction — UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 19:45 UK
36Northern Ireland win28Draw35Hungary win
Our call before kickoff
65%
Northern Ireland or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Northern Ireland at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Northern Ireland had 10 shots (3 on target) to Hungary's 13 (1), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.0.

Northern…Full-time statsHungary
36%Possession64%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.0
10Shots13
3Shots on target1
5Shots inside box10
1Big chances0
3Corners2
1Saves3
15Fouls15
4Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNorthern Ireland or draw 65%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.60
Both teams to score52%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 72%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

3 goals or fewer75%
Northern Ireland to score72%
2 or more goals72%
Hungary to score72%
Goal before half-time68%
Both teams score52%
3 or more goals47%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Northern IrelandNorthern IrelandHungaryHungary
1.3Goals1.3
Northern IrelandNorthern IrelandHungaryHungary
0.6Goals0.6
Northern IrelandNorthern IrelandHungaryHungary
0.7Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Northern Ireland
43%
to score before half-time
Hungary
43%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Mar 2022Northern Ireland 0–1 Hungary
Sept 2015Northern Ireland 1–1 Hungary
Sept 2014Hungary 1–2 Northern Ireland
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Northern Ireland at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Northern Ireland had 10 shots (3 on target) to Hungary's 13 (1), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Northern Ireland 36%, the draw 28% and Hungary 35%.

What were the stats in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.0, Shots 10–13, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 1–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

No. It finished 0–0, so Northern Ireland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Northern Ireland vs Hungary right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Northern Ireland or draw 65%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Northern Ireland form →Hungary form →