Newcastle United beat West Bromwich Albion 3–2. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Newcastle United had 16 shots (7 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 12 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Newcastle United beat West Bromwich Albion 3–2. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Newcastle United had 16 shots (7 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 12 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.5.
Newcastle United 3–2 West Bromwich Albion, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Newcastle United 70%, the draw 19% and West Bromwich Albion 11%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.5, Shots 16–12, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–4, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
Yes — both Newcastle United and West Bromwich Albion scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United to win 70%, it finished Newcastle United won (70% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.