Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion prediction — EFL Cup · Wed 26 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Wed 26 Aug · 19:45 UK
Newcastle United 70Draw 19West Bromwich Albion 11
Our call before kickoff
70%
Newcastle United to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Newcastle United beat West Bromwich Albion 3–2. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Newcastle United had 16 shots (7 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 12 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.5.

Newcastle…Full-time statsWest Bromwich…
57%Possession43%
2.8Expected goals (xG)1.5
16Shots12
7Shots on target3
11Shots inside box4
3Big chances2
6Corners2
1Saves4
14Fouls13
3Offsides2
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNewcastle United to win 70%Newcastle United won (70% called)
Total goals3.15
Both teams to score50%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Newcastle UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
2.3
Goals+1.5
0.8
11.0
Shots+1.7
12.7
3.9
On target+0.6
4.5
4.3
Corners+0.3
4.1
Newcastle UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
4.9
Shots+0.8
5.7
1.8
On target+0.1
1.8
2.0
Corners+0.1
1.9
Newcastle UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
1.7
Goals+1.2
0.5
6.1
Shots+0.9
7.0
2.1
On target+0.7
2.8
2.3
Corners+0.1
2.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Newcastle United to score90%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals60%

First half — what we expected

Newcastle United
65%
to score before half-time
West Bromwich Albion
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

Newcastle UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
4.91st-half shots5.7
1.81st-half shots on target1.8
2.01st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

50%Chance of 5+ shots61%
25%Chance of 7+ shots35%
79%Chance of 1+ shots on target79%
28%Chance of 3+ shots on target27%
82%Chance of 1+ corners80%
33%Chance of 3+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Newcastle United4.96.1
Shots · West Bromwich Albion5.77.0
Shots on target · Newcastle United1.82.1
Shots on target · West Bromwich Albion1.82.8
Corners · Newcastle United2.02.3
Corners · West Bromwich Albion1.92.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Newcastle United 2 · Draws 2 · West Bromwich Albion 1
West Bromwich Albion in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2021West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Newcastle United
Dec 2020Newcastle United 2–1 West Bromwich Albion
Mar 2020West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Newcastle United
Apr 2018Newcastle United 0–1 West Bromwich Albion
Nov 2017West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Newcastle United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion?

Newcastle United beat West Bromwich Albion 3–2. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Newcastle United had 16 shots (7 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 12 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion?

Newcastle United 3–2 West Bromwich Albion, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Newcastle United 70%, the draw 19% and West Bromwich Albion 11%.

What were the stats in Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.5, Shots 16–12, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–4, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion?

Yes — both Newcastle United and West Bromwich Albion scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United to win 70%, it finished Newcastle United won (70% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Newcastle United form →West Bromwich Albion form →