Newcastle United vs Liverpool prediction — Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 16:30 UK

Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 16:30 UK
Newcastle United 38Draw 25Liverpool 37
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Newcastle United and Liverpool drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Newcastle United at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Newcastle United had 13 shots (4 on target) to Liverpool's 27 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.

Newcastle…Full-time statsLiverpool
39%Possession61%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.7
13Shots27
4Shots on target7
6Shots inside box16
3Big chances3
2Corners6
5Saves3
16Fouls15
2Offsides1
5Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNewcastle United 38%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score62%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Newcastle United to score79%
Liverpool to score78%
Under 3.5 goals63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NEW 1 · D 1 · LIV 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jan 2026Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle United
Aug 2025Newcastle United 2–3 Liverpool
Mar 2025Liverpool 1–2 Newcastle United
Feb 2025Liverpool 2–0 Newcastle United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Newcastle United and Liverpool drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Newcastle United at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Newcastle United had 13 shots (4 on target) to Liverpool's 27 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.

What was the final score in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Newcastle United 38%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 37%.

What were the stats in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.7, Shots 13–27, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 6–16, Big chances 3–3, Corners 2–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 16–15, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 5–3.

Did both teams score in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Yes — both Newcastle United and Liverpool scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Newcastle United vs Liverpool right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Newcastle United 38%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Newcastle United form →Liverpool form →