Lyon vs Sparta Prague prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 20:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 20:00 UK
Lyon 68Draw 22Sparta Prague 10
The call
83%
Lyon to win
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0

How it finished

Lyon beat Sparta Prague 3–0. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Lyon had 19 shots (11 on target) to Sparta Prague's 6 (1), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.6.

LyonFull-time statsSparta Prague
55%Possession45%
2.9Expected goals (xG)0.6
19Shots6
11Shots on target1
11Shots inside box3
5Big chances1
7Corners1
1Saves8
20Fouls14
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLyon 68%Lyon (68% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score49%No
Model callHome Win 83%Landed
Second callBTTS No 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Lyon to score90%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.5 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Lyon vs Sparta Prague?

Lyon beat Sparta Prague 3–0. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Lyon had 19 shots (11 on target) to Sparta Prague's 6 (1), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Lyon vs Sparta Prague?

Lyon 3–0 Sparta Prague, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 68%, the draw 22% and Sparta Prague 10%.

What were the stats in Lyon vs Sparta Prague?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.6, Shots 19–6, Shots on target 11–1, Shots inside box 11–3, Big chances 5–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 1–8, Fouls 20–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Lyon vs Sparta Prague?

No. It finished 3–0, so Sparta Prague failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lyon vs Sparta Prague right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lyon 68%, it finished Lyon (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 83%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS No 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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Sparta Prague
Before this
4 AugHLyon2–1 W
Next up
16 SeptAArarat-Armenia4–1 W
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