Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelWolverhampton Wanderers on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Lincoln City v Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction
Our model gives Lincoln City 24%, the draw 26% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 50%, so Wolverhampton Wanderers start as favourites. If you want one score, our predicted score is Lincoln City 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers, the most likely Wolverhampton Wanderers win (10%). We expect 2.8 goals in total: 1.1 for Lincoln City and 1.7 for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 52%.
Of the players, Rafiki Saïd of Wolverhampton Wanderers tops our shots forecast at 3.1, if they start. Adam Armstrong (Wolverhampton Wanderers) leads for shots on target, at 1.1. For cards, Conor McGrandles (Lincoln City) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. On form, Lincoln City have one win, one draw and four defeats from their last six games, and Wolverhampton Wanderers have four wins, two draws and no defeats.
On shots, our forecast is 14.4 for Lincoln City and 13.9 for Wolverhampton Wanderers, with 4.2 and 4.8 on target, and corners at 4.8 to 5.1. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw, Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 9.5 Shots, Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 2.5 Shots on Target and Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 2.5 Corners. The chance all four land is 46% on our numbers, so the fair price is 6/5, or 2.16.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Lincoln City · last 6
Wolverhampton Wanderers · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw is 76% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Bawler's model rates this match: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favoured (50% win probability vs 24% for Lincoln City, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Bawler's predicted score is Lincoln City 0-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers: the most likely score if Wolverhampton Wanderers win, which is the likeliest result (50%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.4%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Lincoln City 24%, the draw 26% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 50%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Lincoln City expecting 1.09 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.67.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 52%.
When are the Lincoln City v Wolverhampton Wanderers line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Lincoln City v Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw (76%), Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 9.5 Shots (83%), Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 2.5 Shots on Target (82%), Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 2.5 Corners (82%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 46% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.16). 18+, please gamble responsibly.