Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelWolverhampton Wanderers on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Charlton Athletic prediction
Our model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers a 69% chance of winning this Championship game. A Charlton Athletic win is 11% and a draw 20%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Charlton Athletic, at 13%. Our expected goals are 2.1 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 0.7 for Charlton Athletic, 2.8 in all. There is a 44% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 52%.
In their last six games Wolverhampton Wanderers have four wins, two draws and no defeats, while Charlton Athletic have one win, one draw and four defeats. Wolverhampton Wanderers drew their most recent match and Charlton Athletic won theirs. We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to have 19.5 shots (4.5 on target) and Charlton Athletic 8.9 (3.6 on target), and corners at 6.4 to 3.2. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers doing more of the attacking.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Wolverhampton Wanderers have won two, Charlton Athletic one, and two were drawn. The last meeting ended Charlton Athletic 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers, in Dec 2015. Bawler's pick combines Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw, Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 14.5 Shots, Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 2.5 Shots on Target and Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 3.5 Corners. We make the chance of all four coming in 52%, a fair price of 10/11 (1.94).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Wolverhampton Wanderers · last 6
Charlton Athletic · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win is 69% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler's model rates this match: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favoured (69% win probability vs 11% for Charlton Athletic, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler's predicted score is Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Charlton Athletic: the most likely score if Wolverhampton Wanderers win, which is the likeliest result (69%). Our model puts that exact score at 13.4%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 69%, the draw 20% and Charlton Athletic 11%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 44% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Wolverhampton Wanderers expecting 2.08 goals and Charlton Athletic 0.69.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 52%.
When are the Wolverhampton Wanderers v Charlton Athletic line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Wolverhampton Wanderers v Charlton Athletic?
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw (89%), Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 14.5 Shots (81%), Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 2.5 Shots on Target (79%), Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 3.5 Corners (81%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 52% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.94). 18+, please gamble responsibly.