Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Charlton Athletic v Lincoln City prediction
Our model only just leans towards Lincoln City here: 37% to win, with Charlton Athletic on 35% and the draw on 28%. Our predicted score is Charlton Athletic 0–1 Lincoln City: the most likely score if Lincoln City win, at 10%. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Charlton Athletic and 1.3 for Lincoln City, 2.6 in all. Both teams scoring is 52% and three or more goals comes in at 47%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Charlton Athletic and Lincoln City have one win each, with three draws. When they last met, it finished Charlton Athletic 2–2 Lincoln City, in Apr 2025. Of the players, Karlan Grant of Charlton Athletic tops our shots forecast at 2.6, if they start. Charlie Kelman (Charlton Athletic) leads for shots on target, at 1.0. For cards, Conor McGrandles (Lincoln City) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
Charlton Athletic come in with one win, one draw and four defeats in their last six. Lincoln City have one win, one draw and four defeats over the same run. On shots, our forecast is 15.1 for Charlton Athletic and 12.4 for Lincoln City, with 4.0 and 3.4 on target, and corners at 6.3 to 3.9. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Over 22.5 Total Shots, Over 6.5 Total Corners and Over 4.5 Total Shots on Target. The chance all three land is 67% on our numbers, so the fair price is 1/2, or 1.49.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Charlton Athletic · last 6
Lincoln City · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Lincoln City or draw is 65% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Bawler's model rates this match: Lincoln City are favoured (37% win probability vs 35% for Charlton Athletic, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Bawler's predicted score is Charlton Athletic 0-1 Lincoln City: the most likely score if Lincoln City win, which is the likeliest result (37%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.8%. Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Charlton Athletic 35%, the draw 28% and Lincoln City 37%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. That is based on Charlton Athletic expecting 1.26 goals and Lincoln City 1.29.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 47%.
When are the Charlton Athletic v Lincoln City line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Charlton Athletic v Lincoln City?
Over 22.5 Total Shots (80%), Over 6.5 Total Corners (85%), Over 4.5 Total Shots on Target (84%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 67% chance, a fair price of 1/2 (1.49). 18+, please gamble responsibly.