Levski Sofia and AEK Athens drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured AEK Athens at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Levski Sofia had 15 shots (3 on target) to AEK Athens' 12 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Levski Sofia and AEK Athens drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured AEK Athens at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Levski Sofia had 15 shots (3 on target) to AEK Athens' 12 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.8.
Levski Sofia 0–0 AEK Athens, played on 18 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Levski Sofia 30%, the draw 27% and AEK Athens 43%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.8, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 6–5, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 0–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Levski Sofia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AEK Athens or draw 70%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.