Leeds United beat Newcastle United 4–1. Leeds United had 15 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 7 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.9.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Leeds United beat Newcastle United 4–1. Leeds United had 15 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 7 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.9.
Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Leeds United 43%, the draw 25% and Newcastle United 32%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.9, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Leeds United and Newcastle United scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.