Match prediction·EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification·Thursday 13 Aug, 17:30 UTC

KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
40.0% home28.0% draw32.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
KI KlaksvikstepLech Poznan
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Lech Poznań average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (6 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
KI Klaksvik or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
KI Klaksvik Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, KI Klaksvik have won 0, Lech Poznan have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Lech Poznan 10 KI KlaksvikEUROPE: Europa League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: KI Klaksvik 40% · draw 28% · Lech Poznan 32%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.