FT · EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026
KI Klaksvik 0–5 Lech PoznanMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had KI Klaksvik at 40%, draw at 28%, Lech Poznan at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-5. The model's headline call was KI Klaksvik to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Klaksvik win
40%
Draw
28%
Poznan win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
KI Klaksvik or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost