FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026
KI Klaksvik 0–0 Riga FCMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was KI Klaksvik or draw at 64%. Bawler had KI Klaksvik at 36%, the draw at 29% and Riga FC at 36%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
KI Klaksvik win
36%
Draw
29%
Result
Riga FC win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.3
Total 2.5
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.5 against our forecast)
The match produced 2.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 72%
Missed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 29%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.