Pre-match, Bawler had KI Klaksvik at 36%, draw at 29%, Riga FC at 36%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-0. The model's headline call was KI Klaksvik to win.
Match underperformed xG by 2.5 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.